Post number #558428, ID: 4d04a9
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Let's assume that I flip a coin three times. Is a chance that it's gonna be heads at least once still 50% overall, or does it actually go up to 87.5% based on the number of possible outcomes (only 1 situation out of 8 results in all tails)?
Post number #558432, ID: 9fee24
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it goes up I believe
Post number #558452, ID: e9ff3c
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If you look at the set as a whole it goes up, but if you look at one sample the probability of that exact sample being what you want remains 50% because each member of this specific set is independent on the result of the others
Post number #558503, ID: a4369c
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>>558452 sounds good. Make sense OP?
Post number #558632, ID: 807f9c
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Ppl still die to pasticide poisioning a few times a year, you dont see antone panikin over that becouse its so unlikly, for argument sake lets say 8 ppl will die this year rather than 4 last year you could say that the probability of dying to past.poisining doubled however thats a subjective view. Probability is static in the case of flipping a coin, but knowing the prob you can make the decision that the more you flip the better the chance of seeing what you want one more time.
Post number #558635, ID: 93881d
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>>558632 https://xkcd.com/1102/ Reminded me of that.
Total number of posts: 7,
last modified on:
Sun Jan 1 00:00:00 1557206186
| Let's assume that I flip a coin three times. Is a chance that it's gonna be heads at least once still 50% overall, or does it actually go up to 87.5% based on the number of possible outcomes (only 1 situation out of 8 results in all tails)?